Skipper Pat Cummins has revealed that his participation in the first Ashes Test appears doubtful due to ongoing injury concerns.
Recent reports from Australia had indicated that Cummins might miss the whole series, though the pace bowler himself has now given a more comprehensive update on his condition.
The 32-year-old has been struggling with a back stress injury that has prevented his participation since his last professional game in July.
Although Cummins has restarted running training, he has yet to begin bowling as part of his recovery program.
"It's difficult to assign a percentage on it, but I'd say probably less likely than likely," commented Cummins. "We get into begins next week, so approximately a couple of weeks away from actually putting on the spikes and bowling out on turf."
Australia coach Andrew McDonald had earlier suggested that Cummins would need a minimum of four weeks of bowling preparation to have any opportunity of featuring in the first Test, set to begin on November 21.
Cummins echoed this assessment, clarifying: "It's necessary to have at least probably a month in the nets. If you play a Test match, you want to ensure you're able to bowl 20 overs in a day without concern."
Given the compressed timeframe, there are also concerns about Cummins' fitness for the second Test in Brisbane on December 4.
Should Cummins be unfit, former skipper Steve Smith is expected to lead the side, with Scott Boland possibly filling the gap in the bowling attack.
Australia have held the Ashes urn since 2018, while England are without a Test victory in Australia since 2011.
Cummins' current injury concerns mirror challenges from earlier in his distinguished career. He made his Test debut as an 18-year-old in 2011 against South Africa, becoming the second-youngest player to take a five-wicket haul in an innings at that time.
However, his impressive debut proved to be a false dawn, as Cummins endured six years before his second Test appearance due to repeated stress fractures in his spine.
When fit, Cummins has established himself as one of cricket's premier fast bowlers. The 32-year-old has taken 309 Test dismissals at an remarkable average of 22.10.
His record in home conditions is even more formidable, with 177 wickets at 19.92, while he has claimed 91 wickets against England in just 19 matches.
In the latest Ashes series in 2023, Cummins played in all five Tests, taking 18 wickets and establishing his importance to the Australian side.
As skipper, Cummins enjoyed a successful 2023, taking six wickets in Australia's triumphant World Test Championship final and starring in their 50-over World Cup final win against India.
He remains the only leader in Test history to win the World Test Championship, World Cup, and an Ashes series.
England also face their own fitness concerns with captain Ben Stokes, who has been affected by a shoulder injury since the Test series against India.
Both teams will be assessing their key players closely as the highly anticipated Ashes series nears.
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